Pre-tourney Rankings
Ball St.
Mid-American
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#166
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#140
Pace73.6#52
Improvement+1.7#92

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#168
First Shot+0.7#153
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#234
Layup/Dunks-1.8#246
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#80
Freethrows-0.5#204
Improvement+0.0#186

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#172
First Shot-1.3#206
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#42
Layups/Dunks-1.5#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#97
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#178
Freethrows-1.0#235
Improvement+1.7#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 244   @ Saint Louis W 85-64 60%     1 - 0 +18.6 +10.0 +7.7
  Nov 15, 2016 191   Indiana St. L 74-80 OT 65%     1 - 1 -10.0 -6.8 -2.6
  Nov 18, 2016 52   @ Alabama L 59-77 12%     1 - 2 -5.2 -1.8 -4.0
  Nov 21, 2016 343   Coppin St. W 79-77 92%     2 - 2 -13.8 -1.3 -12.4
  Nov 23, 2016 334   Southern Utah W 94-83 89%     3 - 2 -2.3 +4.2 -7.2
  Nov 27, 2016 100   @ Valparaiso L 73-79 25%     3 - 3 +1.0 -2.8 +4.3
  Dec 03, 2016 205   IUPUI L 62-73 70%     3 - 4 -16.4 -11.5 -5.7
  Dec 06, 2016 199   Bradley W 80-63 68%     4 - 4 +12.3 +17.1 -2.6
  Dec 10, 2016 273   Eastern Kentucky W 91-86 OT 81%     5 - 4 -4.3 +2.5 -7.5
  Dec 19, 2016 347   Longwood W 61-45 96%     6 - 4 -4.3 -20.5 +16.6
  Dec 22, 2016 342   Alabama St. W 73-48 95%     7 - 4 +6.8 -8.8 +15.1
  Dec 29, 2016 248   @ North Florida W 73-68 61%     8 - 4 +2.3 +6.9 -4.0
  Jan 03, 2017 147   @ Kent St. L 90-100 36%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -6.4 +7.7 -12.7
  Jan 07, 2017 239   Bowling Green L 71-76 76%     8 - 6 0 - 2 -12.3 -6.4 -5.8
  Jan 10, 2017 274   Miami (OH) W 85-74 81%     9 - 6 1 - 2 +1.6 +11.5 -9.8
  Jan 14, 2017 125   @ Buffalo W 92-77 33%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +19.6 +17.0 +1.8
  Jan 17, 2017 242   Central Michigan W 98-83 76%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +7.6 +7.0 -0.6
  Jan 21, 2017 239   @ Bowling Green L 74-79 59%     11 - 7 3 - 3 -7.2 -5.7 -1.1
  Jan 24, 2017 163   @ Eastern Michigan W 88-80 40%     12 - 7 4 - 3 +10.7 +6.5 +3.3
  Jan 28, 2017 160   Western Michigan W 84-78 59%     13 - 7 5 - 3 +3.7 +10.3 -6.4
  Jan 31, 2017 132   Toledo W 81-80 53%     14 - 7 6 - 3 +0.2 +0.2 -0.2
  Feb 03, 2017 125   Buffalo L 69-96 52%     14 - 8 6 - 4 -27.5 -8.7 -17.0
  Feb 07, 2017 105   @ Akron L 63-65 27%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +4.4 -5.0 +9.2
  Feb 10, 2017 103   Ohio L 77-79 45%     14 - 10 6 - 6 -0.6 +4.7 -5.2
  Feb 14, 2017 204   @ Northern Illinois W 81-72 OT 50%     15 - 10 7 - 6 +8.9 -1.1 +8.9
  Feb 18, 2017 242   @ Central Michigan W 109-100 OT 59%     16 - 10 8 - 6 +6.6 +2.3 +2.1
  Feb 21, 2017 163   Eastern Michigan W 79-72 59%     17 - 10 9 - 6 +4.6 +7.1 -2.2
  Feb 25, 2017 160   @ Western Michigan L 55-80 39%     17 - 11 9 - 7 -22.2 -12.5 -12.2
  Feb 28, 2017 132   @ Toledo W 82-74 34%     18 - 11 10 - 7 +12.2 +7.4 +4.6
  Mar 03, 2017 204   Northern Illinois W 87-82 69%     19 - 11 11 - 7 -0.1 +12.5 -12.7
  Mar 09, 2017 160   Western Michigan W 66-63 49%     20 - 11 +3.3 -6.6 +9.9
  Mar 10, 2017 105   Akron L 70-74 36%     20 - 12 -0.2 -3.8 +3.6
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%